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Confederations Cup qualification scenarios

jacob

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Confederations Cup qualification scenarios


You don't need a mathematics degree to figure out what your favourite teams needs to do this weekend in order to earn a semifinal berth at the FIFA Confederations Cup.

CBCSports.ca breaks down the qualification scenarios below:

TIEBREAKERS: In the event that two teams in one group end up with the same amount of points at the end of the round robin, the first tiebreaker is goal difference, followed by total goals scored.

If more than two teams end up with the same amount of points, the first tie breaker is the greatest number of points obtained in the games between the teams involved, followed by goal difference and goal difference (again, taking into account only the games between the teams involved).

GROUP A

Spain leads the group with six points, followed by South Africa (four points), Iraq (1 point) and New Zealand (no points).

SPAIN: The European champions have already secured a semifinal berth but can clinch first place in Group A with a win or a draw against South Africa on Saturday.

SOUTH AFRICA: The hosts control their own destiny, knowing that a victory or a draw against Spain will allow them to move on to the semifinals. A victory against the Spanish would mean South Africa would win Group A. Even a loss would not eliminate the hosts, as long as Iraq doesn't beat New Zealand.

IRAQ: The Asian champions need to beat New Zealand on Saturday - and have South Africa fail to earn a point against Spain - to have a shot at nabbing a semifinal berth. Iraq sports a goal difference of -1 going into Saturday's game, while South Africa is +2. A loss or a draw against New Zealand would eliminate Iraq from contention.

NEW ZEALAND: The Oceania champions have already been eliminated after losing their first two games of the tournament

GROUP B

Brazil leads the group with six points, followed by Italy and Egypt (three points each) and the United States (no points).

BRAZIL: The South American champions can clinch first place in the group and a spot in the semifinals with a win or a draw against Italy on Sunday.

ITALY: The world champions can clinch a semifinal spot if it earns more points on Sunday from its game against Brazil than Egypt gains from its contest against the United States. If both Italy and Egypt earn a draw on Sunday, Italy goes through. Italy sports a +1 goal difference ahead of Sunday's game.

EGYPT: The African champions can clinch a semifinal spot if it earns more points on Sunday from its game against the United States than Italy gains from its contest against Brazil. If both Egypt and Italy earn a draw on Sunday, Italy goes through. Egypt has a 0 goal difference going into Sunday.

UNITED STATES: The CONCACAF Gold Cup champions must beat Egypt on Sunday to have any chance of claiming a semifinal berth. A loss or a draw against the Egyptians would eliminate the U.S. from contention, as would a draw or win by Italy. The U.S. sports a goal difference of -5 going into Sunday's game.

THREE THINGS TO KEEP IN MIND

A loss to Italy by two goals on Sunday and an Egypt win by three goals against the United States will eliminate Brazil

If Italy loses to Brazil by a goal, they could still advance, as long as the United States beats Egypt, creating a three-way way tie at three points.

However, there is also a scenario where the Italians could win and be eliminated. If they beat Brazil by one goal and Egypt beats the United States by three goals, there would be a three-way tie at six points. Goal difference in that scenario: Brazil +3, Egypt +3, Italy +2.
 
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